Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 32%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 10 Oct 2026, the highest close was 68% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 68% on 10 Oct 2026. $4.82K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 4:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 68.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon B200 | Yes | 1.16K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 518.43 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 484.71 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York on October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-syracuse-ny-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in New York on October 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-new-york-october-9
| a5533 | Yes | 47.07 |
| Indigo Lynx A324 | Yes | 27.03 |
| Provenium | Yes | 25 |
| FrogEdge | Yes | 20 |
| Stabrus777 | Yes | 11.63 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
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