Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 412.87 | $0.424 | $101.15 | -$73.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | 16d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 58.14 |
| $0.860 |
| $55.99 |
| +$5.99 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | Yes | 140.85 | $0.355 | $52.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 135.27 | $0.370 | $49.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 58.41 | $0.856 | $46.32 | -$3.68 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 105.6 | $0.147 | $38.91 | +$23.41 |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $15.5 | -$9.5 |
| buy |
| 64.64 |
| $0.070 |
| $4.5 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 21.64 | $0.693 | $15 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 12.88 | $0.776 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump say "Baby" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump say "Century" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | 21d ago |
 Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.834 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 235 | $0.233 | $54.76 | 23d ago |
 Will Warsh’s remarks not air?Yes | buy | 106.17 | $0.060 | $6.35 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.760 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.490 | $10 | 24d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.24 | $0.709 | $25 | 25d ago |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.355 | $50 | 25d ago |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes | sell | 133.46 | $0.051 | $6.78 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?Yes | sell | 53.19 | $0.968 | $51.49 | 28d ago |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes | buy | 133.46 | $0.187 | $25 | 29d ago |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | 29d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 84.98 | $0.294 | $25 | 29d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 340.6 | $0.147 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 135.27 | $0.370 | $50 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.260 | $21.31 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.76 | $0.677 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 78.84 | $0.430 | $33.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 119.92 | $0.417 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 58.41 | $0.856 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 78.85 | $0.634 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 65.96 | $0.758 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |