Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 21.5% on 9 Jul 2026. $2.89K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 10:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 999.98 |
| Bustling-Cartoon | Yes | 91.15 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 60 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-6-july-12-20260703145736261
| hesure | Yes | 25 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 10 |
| Bite-Sized-Aglet | Yes | 8.1 |
| KvK222 | Yes | 7.87 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| mtm3 | Yes | 5 |
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