Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 20% on 25 Mar 2025 and the low 1.5% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 6.5% on 28 Mar 2025. $5.56K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 4:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 22 Mar 2025 – 29 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 12.5% |
| 29 Mar 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fartard | Yes | 147.36 |
| imls | No | 0.02 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week
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