Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 19.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 29 Sep 2025. $2.86K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Sep 2025 – 30 Sep 2025, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2025 | 17.5% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| assertequal | No | 100 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 30 |
| checkgod | No | 11.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 29, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-29-october-5
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