Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 12 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2025 to 15 Apr 2025, the highest close was 34% on 13 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 1.5% on 15 Apr 2025. $28.42K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Apr 2025 – 15 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | 33.5% |
| 15 Apr 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Beacon 38B6 | Yes | 980 |
| Cobalt Ledger 9B43 | Yes | 980 |
| rugpuller-844 | Yes | 385.94 |
| dm5 | Yes | 39.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference events with Nayib Bukele on April 14, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the President of El Salvador events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jI4x1FHfFUE
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bukele-events-on-april-14
| Indigo Signal 70B2 | Yes | 15 |
| Gabbylaw | Yes | 11.54 |
| Cobalt Maven C0D7 | Yes | 10 |
| Lunar Oracle 3A65 | Yes | 5 |
| Indigo Harbor 7F81 | Yes | 5 |
| Emerald Comet A6D3 | Yes | 5 |
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