Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49%. Yes opened at 67% on 5 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 67% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 49% on 6 Oct 2026. $40.08K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 4:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Oct 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | 67.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | No | 1.16K |
| shiifoo | No | 803.92 |
| Lcz | No | 155.66 |
| Fearless-Misnomer | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Grand Island, Nebraska on October 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-grand-island-nebraska-president-donald-j-trump/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Nebraska on October 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-nebraska-october-5
| Anatol50 | No | 99.94 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 87 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| etghzcer | No | 25.31 |
| Exciting-Grease | No | 25 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | No | 20.73 |
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