Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 60% on 5 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2025 to 8 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 8 Jul 2025 and the lowest 45% on 7 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points up, to 99.4% on 8 Jul 2025. $58.45K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Jul 2025 – 8 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2025 | 60.0% |
| 8 Jul 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eviliam718 | No | 1K |
| Prikitiew007 | No | 151.27 |
| Dhalla | No | 100 |
| qwertzu | No | 51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 5, 12:00 AM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-198
| XCrafting | No | 21.23 |
| Talkative-Environment | No | 8 |
| Catscreamerz | No | 7.14 |
| YoungFatWalletUwU | No | 7 |
| Raidloner | No | 2.1 |
| DonGrudy | Yes | 0.05 |
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