Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.028 | $7.32 | -$2.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 19.48 |
| $0.770 |
| $15 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 15.24 | $0.656 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.953 | $31.77 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 26.78 | $0.580 | $15.53 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.06 | $0.946 | $20.88 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.470 | $15 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 34.78 | $0.440 | $15.3 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.938 | $11.73 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.870 | $29 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.720 | $8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.660 | $8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.174 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 34.24 | $0.920 | $31.5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 34.78 | $0.460 | $16 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 11.49 | $0.940 | $10.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No | sell | 10.16 | $0.700 | $7.11 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.097 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 139.37 | $0.072 | $10 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 36 | $0.167 | $6.02 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | sell | 78.16 | $0.448 | $35.01 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | sell | 26.05 | $0.430 | $11.2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.620 | $5.28 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.860 | $12.28 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.470 | $4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |