Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 9% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 31.6% on 4 Jan 2026. $3.74K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 58.5% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 10.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 636 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 462 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 368 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 290 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 29, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and January 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-29-january-4
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 156 |
| irinanitu | Yes | 52 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 50 |
| Joe7413 | Yes | 29.43 |
| S888 | Yes | 20 |
| jonathn | Yes | 12.5 |
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