Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 55% on 17 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 55% on 17 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 1.5% on 21 Oct 2025. $6.28K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 | 55.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Filthy-Wallet | Yes | 209.47 |
| S888 | Yes | 134.17 |
| dogl | Yes | 115.79 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 113 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the Prime Minister of Australia on October 20, 2025 (see https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/trump-meet-australias-pm-washington-oct-20-white-house-official-says-2025-09-23/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Prime Minister of Australia on October 20, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Prime Minister of Australia (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-australia-pm-events-on-october-20
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 97 |
| losos-oliverizm | Yes | 95.24 |
| lukegaeney | Yes | 87.06 |
| Petrofim | Yes | 52.63 |
| trender-144 | Yes | 47.07 |
| Cactusjackmick | Yes | 41.38 |
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