Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 87.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 56% on 1 Oct 2026. $649.51 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 10:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 77.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| triklozoid | No | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-october-2026
| tinyyyyy1 | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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