Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $4.48K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 6:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 10 Sep 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 57.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bigish | Yes | 251 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 201 |
| controls | Yes | 130.91 |
| mathacec | Yes | 109.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-rnc-convention-night-1
| KingZeManel | Yes | 100 |
| Panamera34 | Yes | 91.09 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Gdjsbdj | Yes | 27.09 |
| a5533 | Yes | 15 |
| huashao1 | Yes | 13.55 |
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