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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 72.29 | $0.830 | $65.42 | +$5.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 70.69 |
| $0.690 |
| $39.94 |
| -$8.84 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 60 | $0.560 | $38.7 | +$5.1 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 40.77 | $0.905 | $36.8 | -$0.1 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 41.13 | $0.548 | $31.92 | +$9.38 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 33.07 | $0.756 | $31.13 | +$6.13 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 33.41 | $0.748 | $29.27 | +$4.28 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 5? | Yes | 30.61 | $0.980 | $27.52 | -$2.48 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 47.14 | $0.440 | $20.51 | -$0.24 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 20.26 | $0.760 | $18.14 | +$2.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 19.88 | $0.810 | $17.29 | +$1.19 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 31.39 | $0.796 | $15.54 | -$9.46 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.49 | $0.950 | $14.93 | -$0.74 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 20 | $0.740 | $14.1 | -$0.7 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | No | 14.99 | $0.940 | $11.26 | -$2.83 |
 Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.15 | -$0.35 |
 Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 58.69 | $0.639 | $8.74 | -$28.76 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 14.99 | $0.550 | $8.39 | +$0.15 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.944 | $5.43 | -$1.65 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 25.95 | $0.289 | $5.16 | -$2.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9? | No | 5.1 | $0.980 | $4.84 | -$0.16 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 126.14 | $0.214 | $4.1 | -$22.96 |
| Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.780 | $2.93 | -$0.98 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 12 | $0.300 | $2.6 | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.68 | $0.930 | $0.68 | +$0.05 |
| sell |
| 70.83 |
| $0.850 |
| $60.21 |
| 14h ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 8?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.990 | $4.24 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 38.07 | $0.690 | $26.27 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.690 | $22.5 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 15.64 | $0.420 | $6.57 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 31.49 | $0.450 | $14.17 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.550 | $8.24 | 18h ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | 19h ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | 20h ago |
 Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.907 | $31.28 | 22h ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | 22h ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 32.58 | $0.921 | $30 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 31.38 | $0.956 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 31.39 | $0.956 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 7?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.990 | $6.35 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.71 | $0.590 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.590 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.590 | $1.22 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 24.42 | $0.590 | $14.41 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.520 | $1.22 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.520 | $0.68 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.520 | $0.58 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.520 | $0.63 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.520 | $1.06 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.520 | $0.58 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.520 | $0.84 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.23 | $0.520 | $1.16 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.520 | $2.66 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.520 | $0.84 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.520 | $1.05 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.520 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 15.93 | $0.690 | $10.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No | buy | 30.64 | $0.979 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No | buy | 30.64 | $0.979 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.69 | $0.978 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?No | buy | 29.42 | $0.803 | $23.63 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.470 | $28.2 | 2d ago |