Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 20 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5.5% on 20 Mar 2025 and the low 1.9% on 22 Mar 2025. $8.77K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 6:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Mar 2025 – 22 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2025 | 5.5% |
| 22 Mar 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| L3i8Q4tgK | Yes | 880.39 |
| Shabby-Occasion | Yes | 297 |
| mo0987 | No | 1.08 |
| How.Dare.You | No | 0.04 |
| wallce2024 | No | 0.03 |
| split | No | 0.02 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
| milize | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Venezuela between March 18 and March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Venezuelan citizens or entities which do not directly target the Venezuelan state or members of the Venezuelan government will not qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Venezuela within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sanction-venezuela-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
