Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24% on 26 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 283 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 46% on 29 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 42.5% on 13 May 2025. $44.63K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 283 points, 26 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2025 | 24.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 432.25 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 219 |
| lissartter | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate the federal tax exemption on interest from municipal bonds by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the exemption is eliminated only for specific types or classes of municipal bonds (e.g., only newly issued bonds, only bonds from certain states or localities, or only bonds purchased after a certain date), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-municipal-bond-tax-exemption-in-2025
| power1337 | Yes | 181.24 |
| PennyStacker | Yes | 172.03 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 168 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 154 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 143 |
| ndsfvojeri | Yes | 126.77 |
| gariscrypto | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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