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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 28 Aug 2026 and the low 6.3% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 6.3% on 24 Sep 2026. $579.17 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 53.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 32.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| erFiodena | Yes | 116.15 |
| jesuslovesy0u | Yes | 80 |
| Sweltering-Passion-Fragrance | Yes | 50 |
| Schnitzelwiener | Yes | 5.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-september-30
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 2.49 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet | Yes | 0.05 |
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