Will Trump post less than 80 times March 14-21?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 19, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$16.9K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 19, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.3%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 15 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2025 to 19 Mar 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 15 Mar 2025 and the lowest 4% on 18 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 4% on 18 Mar 2025. $16.87K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 2:50 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 15 Mar 2025 – 19 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Mar 2025	11.5%
19 Mar 2025	4.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.22K
LoraK	Yes	549.99
blyagha	No	0.03
split	No	0.02

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between March 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and March 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump