Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Apr 2025. $2.01M traded over the market's life.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 5.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BaldDeployer | Yes | 51.6K |
| solexplorer | Yes | 50K |
| hiddenblock | Yes | 33.59K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-pardons
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| squignomics | Yes | 31.38K |
| Fdaioknv847 | Yes | 30K |
| otterball | Yes | 18.11K |
| DegenBluey | Yes | 10K |
| MrMarket | Yes | 8.6K |
| dnr | Yes | 6.43K |
| Tautau | Yes | 6.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
