Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 15 Nov 2024, the highest close was 51.5% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 15 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 14.5% on 9 Nov 2024. $8.34K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 15 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 51.5% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.98K |
| Reasonable-Nose | Yes | 0.09 |
| TonediasTheMagnanimous | No | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Matt Rosendale for Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Secretary of Veterans Affairs - if Trump nominates another person first to be Secretary of Veterans Affairs this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-for-secretary-of-veterans-affairs
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