Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?Yes | sell | 183.18 | $0.050 | $9.16 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 111.32 |
| $0.313 |
| $34.82 |
| Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.23 | $0.373 | $19.86 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 393.31 | $0.130 | $51.13 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 89.56 | $0.340 | $30.45 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 206.47 | $0.380 | $78.46 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | sell | 6.81 | $0.008 | $0.05 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?Yes | sell | 96.51 | $0.005 | $0.48 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 35.69 | $0.025 | $0.89 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | sell | 7.55 | $0.270 | $2.04 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 364.81 | $0.011 | $4.01 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | sell | 145.14 | $0.009 | $1.31 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Cardano ETF in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.04 | $0.063 | $1.39 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 11.97 | $0.850 | $10.17 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | sell | 37.19 | $0.240 | $8.93 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 51.24 | $0.171 | $8.76 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Ripple ETF approved in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.141 | $7.03 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | sell | 69.33 | $0.090 | $6.24 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?Yes | sell | 46.78 | $0.110 | $5.15 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.031 | $5.15 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.092 | $4.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.092 | $2.75 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria before October?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNo | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?No | sell | 144.48 | $0.006 | $0.87 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.160 | $0.96 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in July?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 32.85 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 45.23 | $0.200 | $9.05 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 13.24 | $0.800 | $10.59 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?No | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.44 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 15.63 | $0.806 | $12.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 24.3 | $0.542 | $13.17 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | sell | 42.89 | $0.484 | $20.78 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 43.77 | $0.900 | $39.39 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 94.42 | $0.460 | $43.43 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Jul 17, 2025 |