Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 37%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 20 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2024 to 23 Nov 2024, the highest close was 65.5% on 20 Nov 2024 and the lowest 21.5% on 21 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 21.5% on 21 Nov 2024. $16.91K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Nov 2024 – 23 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2024 | 65.5% |
| 23 Nov 2024 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.85K |
| YRERDCFDFH | Yes | 0.05 |
| surf | No | 0.02 |
| KimJonEn | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Lori Chavez-DeRemer for US Secretary of Labor by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-for-labor-secretary
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