Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Feb 2026 and the low 1.3% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 37% on 1 Mar 2026. $3.27K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 42 points · 14 Feb 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| rajugg | Yes | 100 |
| tailhunter | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-a-coin-by-january-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Ludwig14 | Yes | 32.6 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Madigar | Yes | 15.23 |
| JustBot2 | Yes | 14 |
| Elaborate-Pulse | Yes | 8.33 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
