Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 19 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 4 Feb 2026.
Across the 252 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 52% on 29 Apr 2026.
$96.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $780.81, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.17K bought Yes and $6.35K bought No; the largest was a $1.99K sell of No at 77.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Insidious-Couple with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is brother-magpie with 2K. Ten wallets hold 68.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 252 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| brother-magpie | No | 2K |
| Insidious-Couple | Yes | 1.47K |
| rocky42017 | Yes | 1.25K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-a-coin-by-january-31
| enrico-vasaio |
| No |
| 947.41 |
| LofiNecktie | Yes | 800 |
| BertapotamousCopyTrader | No | 738.59 |
| Dima79 | No | 678.12 |
| moonthat | Yes | 594.56 |
| Ym777Ym | No | 588.81 |
| hoipafarma4 | Yes | 472.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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