Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84%. Yes opened at 61% on 14 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2025 to 21 Mar 2025, the highest close was 86% on 16 Mar 2025 and the lowest 25.5% on 19 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 84% on 21 Mar 2025. $15.01K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Mar 2025 – 21 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2025 | 61.0% |
| 21 Mar 2025 | 84.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ShuRuGa | Yes | 0 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On March 13, it was reported that Donald Trump intended to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport illegal immigrants to Guantanamo Bay. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump invokes the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 as a legal basis for any deportations to Guantanamo Bay by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying deportations do not need to be carried out within this market's timeframe, only initiated using this act as the legal basis for the action. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-invoke-alien-enemies-act-for-deportations-to-guantanamo
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