Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 29% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 2 May 2025 and the lowest 2.8% on 29 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 92 points up, to 95% on 30 Apr 2025. $761.45K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 2 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 29.0% |
| 2 May 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zaddychill | No | 10K |
| LoMal | No | 4.5K |
| ogmany | No | 1K |
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which imposes additional tariffs or increases the 25% general tariff on Canada by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-tariffs-on-canada-before-may
| No |
| 1K |
| reportdid | No | 500 |
| ayala | No | 500 |
| surf-monster | No | 500 |
| presidentiald | No | 500 |
| flutes | No | 500 |
| stampset | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
