
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.5% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 17 Oct 2026. $1.19K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 8.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 150 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 146.13 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify. The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support. An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred. If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech). Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement. Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
| TENETENET |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.3 |
| YYV | Yes | 10.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse-for-president-of-brazil-20260803210809
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