Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 12 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 7% on 12 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Apr 2025. $6.62K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 12 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2025 | 7.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 2, Donald Trump posted that FEMA should be eliminated: https://x.com/autismcapital/status/1889355068820111527 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) ceases operations entirely by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If FEMA is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled FEMA it will count as a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-end-fema-in-first-100-days
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