Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.4%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 31 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, the highest close was 22% on 1 Apr 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 22% on 1 Apr 2026. $2.48K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 7:14 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026, chart shows 5%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Mar 2026	9.5%
2 Apr 2026	11.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659	Yes	100.9
Coral Meteor 62B3	Yes	99.85
Thuoclao	Yes	59.94
Faston	Yes	25.84

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.