Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.036 | $4.71 | +$1.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.09 |
| $0.110 |
| $1.6 |
| +$0.6 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.110 |
| $1 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.036 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10.76 | $0.757 | $8.15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 56.17 | $0.220 | $12.36 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.997 | $10.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.397 | $2.27 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | sell | 15.58 | $0.995 | $15.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.092 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | buy | 15.58 | $0.770 | $12 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.216 | $4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.740 | $7 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.614 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.639 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.157 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.285 | $2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.089 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 16.41 | $0.730 | $11.98 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 19.29 | $0.640 | $12.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.930 | $12.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.940 | $6.62 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.670 | $11 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.037 | $7.12 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.695 | $4.86 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 14.6 | $0.430 | $6.28 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 75.77 | $0.066 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |