Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 20% on 2 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 8 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 1.8% on 5 Aug 2025. $4.04K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 2 Aug 2025 – 8 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 20.0% |
| 8 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.32K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 656 |
| montty | Yes | 100 |
| anka123 | Yes | 43.75 |
| Pollyna | Yes | 35 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 24.99 |
| kituchina | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his nominee to fill Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler's chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for this position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". An announcement of Trump's nominee to fill this position will be sufficient to immediately resolve this market, regardless of whether that individual ultimately is confirmed. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-to-replace-kugler
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