Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 21.38 | $0.468 | $18.71 | +$8.71 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 17.78 |
| $0.450 |
| $1.6 |
| -$6.4 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.440 | $1.48 | -$8.52 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | Yes | 21.62 | $0.370 | $0.24 | -$7.76 |
| buy |
| 449.47 |
| $0.067 |
| $30 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 311.05 | $0.019 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 663.88 | $0.009 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.002 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 428.69 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.733 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.273 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Happy New Year" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.450 | $8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.440 | $5.8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Satya Nadella in January?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in January?No | buy | 17.48 | $0.286 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.140 | $1.36 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.370 | $8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.450 | $8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.38 | $0.468 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.690 | $7 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Saudi Arabia" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 18.56 | $0.230 | $4.27 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.890 | $10.68 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Saudi Arabia" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 15.74 | $0.763 | $12 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Saudi Arabia" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.646 | $12 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 14.94 | $0.870 | $13 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Radical Left" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 18.24 | $0.658 | $12 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.630 | $14 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Thanksgiving" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Mortgage" or "Loan" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Saudi Arabia" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.770 | $1.71 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.870 | $1.68 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Radical Left" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.710 | $2.87 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.625 | $6.62 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Thanksgiving" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 18.74 | $0.500 | $9.37 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.480 | $9.87 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Mortgage" or "Loan" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 30.39 | $0.428 | $13.02 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "Donald Trump" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.850 | $2.59 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | sell | 89.28 | $0.950 | $84.82 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 46.42 | $0.940 | $43.63 | Nov 13, 2025 |