Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 15 May 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.9 points down, to 2.1% on 15 May 2026. $185.12K traded over the market's life.
198 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 9:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 May 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 15.5% |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheCornflakemerchant | Yes | 4.11K |
| RafaH | Yes | 1.91K |
| steveZhouOKX | Yes | 1.88K |
| Ruddy-Hiring | Yes | 1.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-hug-at-their-summit
| gamegames | Yes | 1.51K |
| Neon Quasar C647 | Yes | 1.4K |
| bot1001 | Yes | 1.3K |
| tradingdecs | Yes | 1K |
| 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a | Yes | 949.57 |
| Neon Orbit 1E30 | Yes | 885 |
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