Resolved No on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 15% on 27 Jul 2026. $4.5K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 4:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 40.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.25K |
| Abdul20 | Yes | 1.11K |
| balthazar | Yes | 581.74 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 366.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting. If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-netanyahu-shake-hands-for-20260724175229942
| Medo11 | Yes | 224.08 |
| Merbsssss | Yes | 206.77 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 169.46 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Yairyakov | Yes | 90.91 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
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