Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026? | No | 14.71 | $0.340 | $9.85 | +$4.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200.5 |
| $0.050 |
| $4.71 |
| -$5.29 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 429.01 | $0.023 | $1.72 | -$8.28 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 137.86 | $0.065 | $1.1 | -$7.9 |
| buy |
| 27.78 |
| $0.180 |
| $5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 150 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 193.55 | $0.031 | $6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 429.01 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 200.5 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 4.31K | $0.005 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 61.12 | $0.409 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.880 | $14.42 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.340 | $17.89 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 175.44 | $0.110 | $19.27 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 295.38 | $0.230 | $67.94 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.040 | $13.74 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 125.25 | $0.200 | $25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.180 | $25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.076 | $12.71 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No | sell | 231.26 | $0.060 | $13.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 32.26 | $0.998 | $32.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 305.38 | $0.026 | $7.94 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.43 | $0.210 | $6.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 86.45 | $0.080 | $6.92 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.86 | $0.065 | $9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 434.78 | $0.020 | $8.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.140 | $9.33 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | sell | 42.91 | $0.381 | $16.36 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | sell | 73.61 | $0.041 | $3.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 12.5 | $0.280 | $3.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 62.6 | $0.096 | $6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 86.35 | $0.093 | $8 | Jul 12, 2026 |