Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.9% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 26 Aug 2024, the highest close was 1.9% on 24 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Aug 2024. $94.82K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 26 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 1.9% |
| 26 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kamui | Yes | 390 |
| Cumbersome-Mandarin | Yes | 70.38 |
| agmimulle1976 | No | 0.15 |
| gentfedpmadurs1985 | No | 0.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Aug 23, LeadingReport posted the following https://x.com/LeadingReport/status/1827025108973609008. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump publicly states "Operation Warp Speed' failed, and that its failure was his own fault, by August 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Trump and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-admit-operation-warp-speed-was-his-fault
| littperfiga1982 | No | 0.1 |
| malwolfnilan1984 | No | 0.1 |
| Eyebrows | Yes | 0.08 |
| padddirava1982 | No | 0.08 |
| tradilocrhyt1978 | No | 0.06 |
| Ahmedrr | No | 0.05 |
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