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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.157 | $137.5 | -$254.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.560 |
| $40 |
| +$12 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 215 | $0.146 | $11.83 | -$19.52 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.760 | $9.35 | +$1.75 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $7.1 | -$10.9 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.078 | $6.83 | -$4.88 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.060 | $5.18 | -$3.83 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.120 | $3.5 | -$20.5 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 76.53 | $0.030 | $0.99 | -$1.3 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.027 | $0.77 | +$0.2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.450 | $0.73 | -$1.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.073 | $0.31 | -$1.15 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.078 |
| $11.7 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.371 | $148.57 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.879 | $131.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 146 | $0.968 | $141.33 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.870 | $217.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.166 | $24.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 100 | $0.407 | $40.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.140 | $42 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | sell | 145.15 | $0.930 | $134.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.060 | $45 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.600 | $3.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No | sell | 15 | $0.889 | $13.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.173 | $26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.016 | $7.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.470 | $25.85 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.350 | $69.93 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.841 | $42.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 29.24 | $0.330 | $9.65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.23 | $0.350 | $16.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 4.96K | $0.003 | $14.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No | sell | 113.03 | $0.577 | $65.27 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No | sell | 422.14 | $0.761 | $321.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No | sell | 10 | $0.823 | $8.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 75 | $0.275 | $20.63 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes | buy | 4.25K | $0.018 | $75.77 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.222 | $325.94 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No | buy | 232.14 | $0.878 | $203.81 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 168 | $0.180 | $30.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 35 | $0.254 | $8.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.039 | $13.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.282 | $87.57 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 250 | $0.583 | $145.75 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.729 | $225.9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | sell | 303.38 | $0.250 | $75.85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | sell | 174.07 | $0.250 | $43.57 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.247 | $49.45 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |