What is the “Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Tread launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($68.53K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 47 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 81.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 17, 3:27 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-tread-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics

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Predictions Analytics

Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-tread-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026Updated 3d ago

cryptoClosed

Scheduled close Jan 1, 2027 UTCtoken-launchcrypto

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$68.5K

Scheduled close

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

3d ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

3d ago

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

82%

Yes / No shares

1.26K / 10.98K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

475

Wallets

155

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	58.5%	58.5%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	35.5%	35.5%

Will Tread launch a token by ___?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Tread launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($68.53K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?