Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 228 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 16 Sep 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 16 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 81% on 1 Jul 2026. $68.53K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 228 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 53.5% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 99.6% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tread-launch-a-token-by
| lovelose | No | 593.47 |
| clave | No | 550.19 |
| zhaobudao | No | 540 |
| MyLastStand | No | 478.69 |
| 0xacce | Yes | 418 |
| VersionAnswer | No | 177.28 |
| pp101 | No | 155.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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