Analytics
Yes is at 13.6%, down 28 points from 42% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 68 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 9 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.2%; a month before, 9.3%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 19% on 3 Sep 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)”.
$20.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.02K since listing. The order book holds $12.85K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $38.45 bought Yes and $352.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is jikolep with 284 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 563.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 42.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 562.58 |
| jikolep | Yes | 283.58 |
| Indigo Quasar 97DF | Yes | 76.92 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mississippi-senate-election-turnout-first-round
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 63 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 44.75 |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | Yes | 34.57 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 33 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20.03 |
| smarterstrat | No | 19.9 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 15.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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