Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 20 points from 44% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 69 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%; a month before, 34.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 24.5% on 21 Aug 2026.
370K-400K ranks second of the 8 outcomes in “Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout”. 400K-430K leads at 26.1%; 310K-340K is at 22.9%.
$101.18 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.56K since listing. The order book holds $17.82K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 207 trades, $794.22 bought Yes and $1.13K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 433 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 981. Ten wallets hold 95% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 44.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 980.61 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 432.88 |
| jikolep | Yes | 403.28 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-election-turnout
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 140.28 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 108.15 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 64.03 |
| DontCryMontreal | Yes | 59.98 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 59.03 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 40 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 24.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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