Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 30% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 33% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 17 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 15.3% on 14 Sep 2026. $26.19K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 17 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2026 | 30.0% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 2.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plaintive-Athlete | Yes | 1.14K |
| Cbor | Yes | 978.2 |
| MrTrickster | Yes | 664.08 |
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tido-parties-win-a-majority-in-the-2026-swedish-parliamentary-elections-20260603233725849
| Cruel-Cygnet | Yes | 561.43 |
| ShitterPiff | Yes | 499.99 |
| JMPP | Yes | 428.32 |
| TechnoShakespeare | Yes | 320 |
| madmartigan5 | Yes | 315.57 |
| Phectar | Yes | 215.1 |
| gasigurra | Yes | 204.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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