Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.6%. Yes opened at 16% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 27% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 8.3% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 8.3% on 16 Jan 2026. $12.21K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 16.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 8.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.01K |
| heresjimmy | Yes | 2K |
| tupac | Yes | 791.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-january-16
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