Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.4% on 7 Mar 2026.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 7:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.66K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 614.16 |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 602.12 |
| paspor | Yes | 440.58 |
| EdwardLewis | Yes | 422.62 |
| yzhaobk-nrt | Yes | 415.89 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 304.61 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 262.92 |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 152.02 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 120 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-march-10
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