Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 22 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 47.5% on 12 Nov 2025. $37.15K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 73 points · 22 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 47.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TwoEyes | Yes | 896.86 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 186 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 169.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
New to prediction markets?
| sipp- | Yes | 156.19 |
| Firsthand-Link | No | 99.99 |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 63.87 |
| Yukaii | Yes | 45.19 |
| tango | Yes | 43.48 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 43.15 |
