Analytics
Yes is at 74.5%, up 24 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 108 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65%; a month before, 69%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 63% on 31 Jul 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.69K since listing. The order book holds $447.6, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 143 trades, $997.66 bought Yes and $554.51 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Laalo with 836 shares; the largest No position is Rasul05 with 199. Ten wallets hold 80.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 96 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 74.5% |
Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Avengers: Doomsday" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Avengers: Doomsday" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Avengers: Doomsday" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Avengers: Doomsday" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Avengers: Doomsday". If no theatrical release occurs by January 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-avengers-doomsday-20260701214257877
| aliiz |
| No |
| 135.42 |
| Yoelmma | Yes | 100 |
| taemaxx | No | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 93.39 |
| sasha585 | No | 82.44 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 72.9 |
| Chims | No | 66.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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