Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 9 Oct 2025, the highest close was 15% on 7 Oct 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 7.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $88.33 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 15.0% |
| 9 Oct 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.29K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 421.76 |
| bobaepicure | Yes | 83.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature is scheduled to be awarded in October 2025, during the annual Nobel Prize announcements in Stockholm, Sweden. This market will resolve according to the listed individual, who is officially announced as the winner of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature by the Swedish Academy. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to the person whose last name, as listed here, comes first alphabetically. If the award has not been officially announced by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the first official announcement from the Swedish Academy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-prize-in-literature-2025
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