Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96%. Yes opened at 82% on 29 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2026 to 5 Aug 2026, the highest close was 98% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 82% on 29 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 97.9% on 30 Jul 2026. $2.45K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Jul 2026 – 5 Aug 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | 82.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 96.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
Resolution source: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cyclosporiasis-cases-in-uptspt-by-august-31-20260727151618908
| No |
| 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10.33 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | No | 5 |
| Noxious-Scholar | No | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
