Analytics
Yes is at 33%, down 16 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 51.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
$621.07 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.19K, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Amazeicci with 500 shares; the largest No position is nolucy with 500.
Trading closes on 15 Dec 2026, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the team that wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, has never won the League of Legends World Championship before. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team is a previous Worlds winner if its organization won any League of Legends World Championship from 2011 to 2025, including under a previous name. Among the teams in the Worlds 2026 field, the previous winners are T1 (2013, 2015, and 2016 as SK Telecom T1; 2023, 2024, and 2025 as T1), Gen.G (2017 as Samsung Galaxy), Dplus KIA (2020 as DAMWON Gaming), and Invictus Gaming (2018). If any of these four teams wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "No". If any other team wins Worlds 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Previous titles won by individual players do not matter. If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-worlds-2026-champion-be-a-first-time-worlds-winner
| Crimson Ledger 2573 |
| Yes |
| 94.33 |
| Klutzy-Office | Yes | 16.67 |
| nezuchills | No | 5.07 |
| test1gsera | No | 5 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 0.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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