Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 26 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 18% on 4 Jul 2026. $654.34 traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 26 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.48K |
| pestanimal | Yes | 320 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 258.14 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 111.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Tour de France champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Tour de France website.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2026-winner-nationality-20260702200226109
New to prediction markets?
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| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| HappyHippocampus | Yes | 25 |
| balthazar | Yes | 22.87 |
